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The Last Mile Problem In Legal Analysis
What happens when a robust legal analysis points somewhere no one wants to go?
Apr 16
•
Alper Ozgit
2
1
The Outside-Lane Illusion
Why states think they’re winning the prediction-market litigation race–but the wall is coming up fast
Apr 7
•
Alper Ozgit
3
1
Judge Gordon's Jenga
Why the states’ lead in prediction market litigation seems fragile
Apr 1
•
Alper Ozgit
1
March 2026
What Paul Grewal Gets Right About Prediction Markets—and What Comes Next
Litigation sequencing, unanswered questions and SCOTUS predictions
Mar 30
•
Alper Ozgit
1
Either Mansour Misunderstands Sports Betting or Bloomberg Misunderstands Mansour
Bloomberg’s single misframed distinction highlights an existential risk that Kalshi may not outrun
Mar 26
•
Alper Ozgit
Concerned For This Country: A Response to Aaron Brogan
Can non-enforcement of laws be that easily dismissed?
Mar 23
•
Alper Ozgit
1
Litigation Sequencing — Stop #3: Parallelism
The states can still rewrite the future before the train reaches its final destination
Mar 12
•
Alper Ozgit
2
1
Litigation Sequencing — Stop #2: Preemption
Federal vs. state preemption is the question on the docket–but only because the right question never was
Mar 12
•
Alper Ozgit
Litigation Sequencing — Stop #1: Permissibility
The threshold battle over whether prediction markets have the right to exist
Mar 10
•
Alper Ozgit
2
1
Litigation Sequencing
How prediction market litigation is advancing: one question at a time
Mar 9
•
Alper Ozgit
2
1
The CFTC is Losing the Prediction Markets Narrative
Why the agency’s shifting interpretation of off-exchange trading can’t survive judicial scrutiny
Mar 6
•
Alper Ozgit
3
1
The Legal Status of Sports Gambling in America
The gap between what the law says and what regulators choose to enforce–is the battleground where the fate of the entire sports gambling industry will…
Mar 3
•
Alper Ozgit
1
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